Vol - 25, Issue - 3
About the Journal
[This article belongs to Volume - 25, Issue - 3]
International Medical Journal
Journal ID : IMJ-12-02-2020-239
Total View : 155

Abstract : Malaria is a contagious disease caused by Plasmodium through the bite of Anopheles sp. It is spread throughout the world, including both tropics and subtropical countries. This study was dedicated to determine the best model for predicting the prevalence of Malaria in Sulawesi Tenggara. Population and sample were Malaria case data in the Sulawesi Tenggara province from 2014 to 2019. The best model for the prediction is ARIMA (1,0,0)(0,0,2)12. The prediction indicated there would be an increase in the number of prevalence over the next two years, with a MAPE value of 14.09%

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